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background-repeat:no-repeat;font-size:12px;">  </td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table id="wz" width="960" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="left">您當(dāng)前的位置--><a href="/index.shtml">首頁(yè)</a>--><a href='/dcls/index.shtml'>地產(chǎn)樓市</a></td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table id="content" width="960" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tbody><tr> <td id="con_left" align="left" valign="top"> <table id="ctl00_ContentPlaceHolder1_DataList1" cellspacing="0" border="0" style="border-collapse:collapse;"> <tbody><tr> <td> <table width="705" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="bor_news"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center" class="black_titnews pad10">頭部房企銷售環(huán)比好轉(zhuǎn)，未來(lái)兩個(gè)月市場(chǎng)或?qū)⑼瓿芍?/td> </tr> <tr> <td align="center"><table width="80%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="bor_news1"> <tbody><tr> <td class="time_placeholder" width="41%" align="left" valign="bottom" class="pad1 pad10"></td> <td class="time_placeholder" width="25%" align="left" valign="bottom" class="pad1 pad10"></td> <td id="time" width="34%" align="left" valign="bottom" class="pad1 pad10">發(fā)布時(shí)間:2022年06月13日 14:28</td> </tr> </tbody></table></td> </tr> <tr style="display:none;"> <td align="center" class="dis1 pad1 pad2 pad10 black_link_news"> <img id="ctl00_ContentPlaceHolder1_DataList1_ctl00_Image1" border="0" src="/images/zwtp.jpg" style="height:130px;width:180px;border-width:0px;"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td align="left" class="dis1 pad1 pad2 pad10 black_link_news"> <p style="text-align:center;"></p> <p style="text-align:center;"></p> <p> <p>　　作者：鄭娜</p> <p>　　截至6月12日，以克而瑞發(fā)布的5月份銷售榜序列為參考，TOP20房企中，除了華潤(rùn)置地尚未披露單月數(shù)據(jù)，綠地、濱江、金科、華發(fā)、建發(fā)等5家房企不單獨(dú)對(duì)外披露月度銷售數(shù)據(jù)外，已有14家房企發(fā)布了5月份未經(jīng)審核的營(yíng)運(yùn)數(shù)據(jù)。</p> <p>　　第一財(cái)經(jīng)對(duì)14家房企的銷售表現(xiàn)進(jìn)行統(tǒng)計(jì)對(duì)比發(fā)現(xiàn)，這些頭部房企的銷售仍有較大的下行壓力，但普降的大勢(shì)下，5月份已有些許改善并出現(xiàn)分化的態(tài)勢(shì)。</p> <p>　　整體來(lái)看，上述14家房企前5月累計(jì)銷售金額同比降幅、單月同比降幅分別45.2%、52.8%，表現(xiàn)優(yōu)于同期百?gòu)?qiáng)房企52.7%、59.4%的下挫幅度。</p> <p>　　5月單月，頭部房企銷售改善亦優(yōu)于整體。上述14家房企的單月環(huán)比增幅約為11.1%，同期，百?gòu)?qiáng)房企單月環(huán)比增幅約為6.5%。其中，環(huán)比漲幅大于20%的房企有5家。</p> <p>　　具體到房企表現(xiàn)上來(lái)看，在5月份，保利以380億元問鼎單月銷售榜，超出萬(wàn)科近80億元；而據(jù)克而瑞披露的碧桂園全口徑銷售數(shù)據(jù)顯示，該公司5月單月實(shí)現(xiàn)約378億元，亦高于萬(wàn)科，位列第二。</p> <p>　　中海地產(chǎn)單月銷售額仍排在第四，實(shí)現(xiàn)約264億元，環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)近30%，是14家房企中單月銷售環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)最明顯的企業(yè)。此外有7家房企單月規(guī)模在百億元以上。</p> <p>　　累計(jì)銷售規(guī)模來(lái)看，除了TOP3房企碧桂園、萬(wàn)科、保利發(fā)展之外，尚無(wú)房企再突破千億元的門檻，僅有融創(chuàng)、中海的銷售總額超過950億元；其余房企的銷售規(guī)模則皆在800億元以下。而2021年同期，TOP15房企的銷售均在千億以上。</p> <p>　　頗值得一提的是，在頭部房企銷售持續(xù)向下的同時(shí)，首次躋身TOP20行列的越秀地產(chǎn)，在5月單月實(shí)現(xiàn)同比2%的增長(zhǎng)，是唯一一家同比上漲的房企。盡管其單月銷售額不足百億，但累計(jì)銷售額實(shí)現(xiàn)346.2億元，同比降幅為15.2%，是14家房企降幅最小的。</p> <p>　　事實(shí)上，上述頭部房企中，銷售表現(xiàn)已經(jīng)有所分化。除越秀地產(chǎn)外，5月單月銷售同比降幅較低的有中海地產(chǎn)、保利發(fā)展，分別為23%、36%；累計(jì)前5個(gè)月的數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)看，銷售同比表現(xiàn)較好的有保利發(fā)展、中海地產(chǎn)、碧桂園，跌幅在40%以內(nèi)，均明顯優(yōu)于百?gòu)?qiáng)的表現(xiàn)。</p> <p>　　而目前已出現(xiàn)債務(wù)展期等情況的融創(chuàng)和世茂，5月單月銷售額同比跌幅在80%左右，1-5月累計(jì)跌幅分別為59.2%、71.9%，跌幅明顯大于百?gòu)?qiáng)，且呈現(xiàn)擴(kuò)大的趨勢(shì)。</p> <p>　　另?yè)?jù)中信證券研報(bào)數(shù)據(jù)顯示，5月份，其跟蹤的樣本企業(yè)中，高信用企業(yè)銷售金額同比下降 42%，較4月的跌幅48%有明顯回落；一般信用企業(yè)銷售金額同比下降76%，較4月跌幅 74%進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大。</p> <p>　　申萬(wàn)宏源證券地產(chǎn)分析師袁豪也指出，5月房企銷售繼續(xù)低迷，已經(jīng)連續(xù)10個(gè)月呈現(xiàn)普降的態(tài)勢(shì)，分化趨勢(shì)也更為顯著，預(yù)計(jì)這種分化在融資差異和拿地差異之下后續(xù)將進(jìn)一步加大。</p> <p>　　不過，在各地不斷加碼，密集出臺(tái)的支持政策下，銷售表現(xiàn)上持續(xù)下挫的態(tài)勢(shì)有望得到扭轉(zhuǎn)，市場(chǎng)預(yù)計(jì)，后續(xù)房企銷售降幅將逐步有所縮窄。</p> <p>　　中信證券認(rèn)為，5月企業(yè)銷售數(shù)據(jù)顯示需求側(cè)政策的積累在行業(yè)下行周期中的托底作用初顯，考慮到政策作用的滯后性，下半年市場(chǎng)有望加速恢復(fù)。</p> <p>　　東北證券地產(chǎn)分析師吳胤翔認(rèn)為，未來(lái)兩個(gè)月銷售數(shù)據(jù)層面的市場(chǎng)底部或?qū)⒊霈F(xiàn)，去年 6 月仍然銷售較為火熱，銷售金額環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)11.3%，7月時(shí)則急轉(zhuǎn)直下，銷售金額環(huán)比下挫26.7%，而今年6-7月銷售環(huán)比向上趨勢(shì)有望保持。</p> <p>　　“但銷售數(shù)據(jù)同比從底部反彈并不代表基本面實(shí)質(zhì)性的回穩(wěn)，目前市場(chǎng)整體成交仍然處于低位，”吳胤翔指出，4月統(tǒng)計(jì)局公布的銷售金額8135億元，距離2020-2021年平均1.48萬(wàn)億的單月銷售金額仍有較大差距。</p> <p>　　在吳胤翔看來(lái)，未來(lái)，隨著疫情防控形勢(shì)不斷好轉(zhuǎn)，寬松政策進(jìn)一步向更高能級(jí)城市和更大力度工具演進(jìn)，同時(shí)伴隨支持房企的融資需求，房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)整體或?qū)⒃谌径饶┑剿募径绕蠓€(wěn)。</p> <p>　　支持政策的加碼出臺(tái)，也有助于修復(fù)購(gòu)房者的信心。某華東房企的市場(chǎng)營(yíng)銷總監(jiān)在近日的一場(chǎng)分享會(huì)上表示，“5月初調(diào)研時(shí)有約6成的客戶認(rèn)為當(dāng)時(shí)的房地產(chǎn)政策沒有到位，觀望情緒比較濃�，F(xiàn)在經(jīng)過政策的相應(yīng)調(diào)整之后，相信目前客戶對(duì)于整個(gè)市場(chǎng)的預(yù)期是有所上升的�！�</p> <p>　　5月，貝殼50城二手房成交量環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)約14%，同比降幅收窄，超八成城市成交量環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)，客戶看房活躍度提高，50城二手房帶看客戶量環(huán)比增長(zhǎng)8%。</p></p> <p> </p> <p>（來(lái)源：第一財(cái)經(jīng)）</p> <p style="text-align:right;">(編輯：王思博)</p> <div style="text-align: center; "><img src="/9/2021-05-31/U435P916T9D412F261DT20210601101353.jpg"width=550; 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